BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Basketball

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


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Arkansas St

Class: 1 Class Rank: 251 Conference: Sunbelt Record: (8-13) Overall: (13-19) Overall Strength =   30.79

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 11-10-2022 Away    L    42.09  56  59    1 125 ( 19- 11) Louisiana Tech         10.39    -13.39                      
  2 11-14-2022 Away    L    16.55  54  73    1 234 ( 13- 17) TN Martin             -15.16     -3.84                      
  3 11-16-2022 Home    W    44.01  95  50   ZZ  94 (  0-  2) Hendrix                12.30 *   32.70                      
  4 11-19-2022 Home    W    23.80  63  57    1 338 (  4- 26) Utah St                -7.91     13.91                      
  5 11-22-2022 Home    L    33.20  70  95    1  28 ( 24-  5) Oklahoma                1.50    -26.50                      
  6 11-26-2022 Home    W    32.95  79  68 1  1 304 (  9- 22) Missouri KC             1.25      9.75                      
  7 11-29-2022 Away    W    45.43 102  83    1 313 ( 11- 18) McNeese St             13.73      5.27                      
  8 12-08-2022 Away    L    22.72  68  82    1 215 ( 15- 15) North Alabama          -8.98     -5.02                      
  9 12-11-2022 Away    L    46.81  63  77    1  36 ( 21- 12) Arkansas               15.11 *  -29.11                      
 10 12-15-2022 Home    W    38.05  79  66    1 296 ( 10- 19) Grambling               6.35      6.65                      
 11 12-18-2022 Away    L    21.72  44  60    1 212 ( 21- 10) Ark Little Rock        -9.98     -6.02                      
 12 12-29-2022 Away    L *   9.91  66  81    1 323 (  7- 23) ULM                   -21.79      6.79                      
 13 12-31-2022 Away    L *  26.40  86  99    1 186 ( 20-  8) Ga Southern            -5.30     -7.70                      
 14 01-05-2023 Home    L *  23.14  67  83    1 133 ( 17- 13) Troy                   -8.56     -7.44                      
 15 01-07-2023 Home    L *  29.54  58  59    1 239 ( 11- 20) Appalachian St         -2.17      1.17                      
 16 01-12-2023 Away    L *  14.33  36  61    1 175 ( 21- 10) Southern Miss         -17.37     -7.63                      
 17 01-14-2023 Away    L *   7.78  55  89    1 148 ( 23-  8) Texas St              -23.92    -10.08                      
 18 01-19-2023 Away    W *  40.29  63  47    1 341 (  7- 23) South Alabama           8.59      7.41                      
 19 01-21-2023 Away    L *  36.52  48  49 1  1 202 ( 16- 15) Louisiana               4.82     -5.82                      
 20 01-26-2023 Home    L *  25.21  59  68    1 175 ( 21- 10) Southern Miss          -6.49     -2.51                      
 21 01-28-2023 Home    L *  22.39  59  71    1 183 ( 17- 14) Marshall               -9.31     -2.69                      
 22 02-02-2023 Away    W *  41.53  69  65    1 218 ( 14- 16) Coastal Car             9.83     -5.83                      
 23 02-04-2023 Home    L *  24.07  75  87    1 156 ( 22- 12) Old Dominion           -7.63     -4.37                      
 24 02-09-2023 Away    W *  50.26  98  92    1 133 ( 17- 13) Troy                   18.56    -12.56                      
 25 02-11-2023 Away    L *  32.20  57  70    1 130 ( 25-  7) James Madison           0.50    -13.50                      
 26 02-16-2023 Home    W *  39.17  78  58    1 341 (  7- 23) South Alabama           7.47     12.53                      
 27 02-18-2023 Home    W *  42.40  69  59    1 202 ( 16- 15) Louisiana              10.70     -0.70                      
 28 02-22-2023 Home    W *  44.79  98  73    1 323 (  7- 23) ULM                    13.09     11.91                      
 29 02-24-2023 Home    L *  29.66  79  86    1 148 ( 23-  8) Texas St               -2.04     -4.96                      
 30 02-28-2023 Neutral W *  33.35  76  65    1 323 (  7- 23) ULM                     1.65      9.35                      
 31 03-01-2023 Away    W *  44.40  81  76 1  1 186 ( 20-  8) Ga Southern            12.70     -7.70                      
 32 03-03-2023 Neutral L *  29.77  72  79    1 175 ( 21- 10) Southern Miss          -1.93     -5.07                      
      Averages              31.70  69.4 71.5

Best game:   50.26 = 6 point win over Troy
Worst game:   7.78 = 34 point loss to Texas St
Team stdev:  11.20